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GEM · Run 12Z 30 Sep · +0 h · Valid Wed 12Z 30 Sep

0.00.00.05.05.05.05.05.05.05.05.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.015.015.015.015.015.015.015.015.015.015.015.015.015.015.015.015.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.020.025.025.025.025.025.025.025.030.030.026°Oklahoma City: 26 °C at 12Z 30 Sep10°Salt Lake City: 10 °C at 12Z 30 Sep9°Seattle: 9 °C at 12Z 30 Sep22°Orlando: 22 °C at 12Z 30 Sep16°New York: 16 °C at 12Z 30 Sep17°Los Angeles: 17 °C at 12Z 30 Sep17°Chicago: 17 °C at 12Z 30 Sep25°Houston: 25 °C at 12Z 30 Sep18°Phoenix: 18 °C at 12Z 30 Sep26°Dallas: 26 °C at 12Z 30 Sep14°Atlanta: 14 °C at 12Z 30 Sep15°Boston: 15 °C at 12Z 30 Sep15°Washington: 15 °C at 12Z 30 Sep12°Denver: 12 °C at 12Z 30 Sep18°Minneapolis: 18 °C at 12Z 30 Sep26°Miami: 26 °C at 12Z 30 Sep15°San Francisco: 15 °C at 12Z 30 Sep25°New Orleans: 25 °C at 12Z 30 Sep14°Buffalo: 14 °C at 12Z 30 Sep14°Charlotte: 14 °C at 12Z 30 Sep17°Philadelphia: 17 °C at 12Z 30 Sep13°Detroit: 13 °C at 12Z 30 Sep23°Tampa: 23 °C at 12Z 30 Sep19°San Diego: 19 °C at 12Z 30 Sep19°St. Louis: 19 °C at 12Z 30 Sep25°San Antonio: 25 °C at 12Z 30 Sep

GEM · Run 12Z 30 Sep · +0 h · Valid Wed 12Z 30 Sep

One GEM run — issued 12Z 30 Sep — played forward 6 hours at a time, from its analysis to 120 hours out.

Methodology

Nights and days pass as you step this run: that motion is the weather the run forecasts, not the forecast changing. Forecast Evolution is the other film — it holds one moment still and steps the runs, so the only thing that moves there is the model's mind. The colour scale is fitted to the whole run at once, so the same moment reads with more bands here than on the static GEM map; the field is identical. Six-hourly to 120 hours. GEM forecasts out to 240 hours; this film stops at 120. The frames past the one shown load on demand.

This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of Environment and Climate Change Canada. The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page.

Sources and licences

What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.

Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.