Run total + precip rate + MSLP
Region Southwest
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
GFS · Run 00Z 16 Oct · +0 h · Valid Fri 00Z 16 Oct
GFS · Run 00Z 16 Oct · +0 h · Valid Fri 00Z 16 Oct
Nothing on the map has reached 0.25 mm yet · heaviest rate 34.18 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 83 mm, 115 km NNW of Del Rio, Texas · heaviest rate 27.77 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 176 mm at 20.0N 108.75W · heaviest rate 14.89 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 179 mm at 20.0N 108.75W · heaviest rate 10.45 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 179 mm at 20.0N 108.75W · heaviest rate 7.58 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 179 mm at 20.0N 108.75W · heaviest rate 9.96 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 179 mm at 20.0N 108.75W · heaviest rate 21.66 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 179 mm at 20.0N 108.75W · heaviest rate 27.72 mm/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 233 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 20.7 mm/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 281 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 33.4 mm/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 315 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 22.82 mm/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 329 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 23.74 mm/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 339 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 27.65 mm/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 345 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 30.95 mm/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 350 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 36.17 mm/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 352 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 30.06 mm/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 353 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 25.76 mm/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 354 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 47.99 mm/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 356 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 15.17 mm/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 357 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 15.72 mm/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 399 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 28.85 mm/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 422 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 34.78 mm/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 426 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 28.42 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 439 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 11.48 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 443 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 10.05 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 451 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 6.55 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 467 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 8.32 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 472 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 10.25 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 472 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 14.42 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 474 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 22.37 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 478 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 15.82 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 480 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 7.16 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 480 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 19.68 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 480 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 35.02 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 480 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 36.59 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 480 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 25.22 mm/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 480 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 56.32 mm/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 480 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 33.56 mm/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 481 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 27.81 mm/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 482 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 29.91 mm/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 484 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 31.61 mm/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 33.94 mm/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 27.44 mm/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 19.57 mm/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 21.37 mm/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 15.81 mm/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 32.5 mm/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 15.71 mm/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 9.82 mm/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 54.6 mm/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 51.11 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 38.7 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 24.81 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 28.22 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 20.97 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 16.29 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 19.5 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 15.02 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 21.54 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 15.02 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 485 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 27.61 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 505 mm, 85 km SE of Prince Rupert, British Columbia · heaviest rate 23.61 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 521 mm, 85 km SE of Prince Rupert, British Columbia · heaviest rate 11.15 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 524 mm, 85 km SE of Prince Rupert, British Columbia · heaviest rate 17.51 mm/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 524 mm, 85 km SE of Prince Rupert, British Columbia · heaviest rate 58.03 mm/h at Sun 00Z
One GFS run, issued 00Z 16 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from its analysis to 384 hours out.
Methodology
Two of this site's films laid one over the other. Underneath is the Run total: everything this run puts down from its start to each frame, on Tropical Tidbits' scale. On top is the pressure Time lapse: the precipitation falling at that frame's time, on the radar scale, and the sea-level pressure at that time in 4 hPa isobars. So the rate moves on as the film plays and leaves its total behind it. The first frame is the analysis, where the run has put nothing down yet.
The total is a window and the rate and the pressure are instants, all read at the frame's valid time: the total runs from the start of the run to that time. Liquid-equivalent: snow counts as the water it melts to. GFS and ECMWF only, the two models here that publish an instantaneous rate.
Six-hourly to 384 hours. GFS forecasts out to 384 hours. The frames past the one shown load on demand. Uncorrected model output.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of NOAA. The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- NOAA: GFS, from NOAA's NOMADS server. US government data, not subject to copyright (NOAA/NWS terms of use).
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.