Run total + precip rate + MSLP
GFS · Run 12Z 14 Oct · +0 h · Valid Wed 12Z 14 Oct
Region Southwest
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
GFS · Run 12Z 14 Oct · +0 h · Valid Wed 12Z 14 Oct
Nothing on the map has reached 0.25 mm yet · heaviest rate 23.39 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 123 mm, 245 km WSW of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 28.59 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 127 mm, 245 km WSW of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 36.69 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 133 mm at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 28.83 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 181 mm at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 19.47 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 193 mm at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 11.21 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 194 mm at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 22.98 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 198 mm at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 32.49 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 212 mm at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 14.19 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 218 mm at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 19.48 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 219 mm at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 21.47 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 221 mm at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 26.25 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 221 mm at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 18.93 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 222 mm at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 20.87 mm/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 222 mm at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 20.29 mm/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 322 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 45.17 mm/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 394 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 16.06 mm/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 434 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 12.7 mm/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 472 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 16.85 mm/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 484 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 9.78 mm/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 488 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 9.14 mm/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 490 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 19.56 mm/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 491 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 12.13 mm/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 491 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 6.75 mm/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 493 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 8.46 mm/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 493 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 8.77 mm/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 494 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 12.09 mm/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 508 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 10.69 mm/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 520 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 6.56 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 531 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 7.52 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 532 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 18.88 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 534 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 18.2 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 540 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 13.76 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 546 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 12.05 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 547 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 29.55 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 553 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 33.78 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 559 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 23.12 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 559 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 11.62 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 559 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 13.08 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 561 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 19.86 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 562 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 22.53 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 562 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 19.82 mm/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 562 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 31.04 mm/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 562 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 26.82 mm/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 562 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 17.18 mm/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 563 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 15.16 mm/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 565 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 20.53 mm/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 568 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 36.28 mm/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 576 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 26.44 mm/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 588 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 32.49 mm/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 589 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 29.61 mm/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 594 mm, 80 km NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 39.84 mm/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 597 mm, 80 km NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 26.92 mm/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 607 mm, 80 km NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 11.97 mm/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 608 mm, 80 km NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 23.36 mm/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 608 mm, 80 km NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 5.38 mm/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 608 mm, 80 km NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 11.5 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 608 mm, 80 km NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 7.74 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 608 mm, 80 km NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 35.98 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 609 mm, 80 km NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 26.24 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 609 mm, 80 km NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 7.55 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 610 mm, 80 km NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 6.56 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 610 mm, 80 km NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 8.68 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 612 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 15.31 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 620 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 30.1 mm/h at Fri 12Z
One GFS run, issued 12Z 14 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from its analysis to 384 hours out.
Methodology
Two of this site's films laid one over the other. Underneath is the Run total: everything this run puts down from its start to each frame, on Tropical Tidbits' scale. On top is the pressure Time lapse: the precipitation falling at that frame's time, on the radar scale, and the sea-level pressure at that time in 4 hPa isobars. So the rate moves on as the film plays and leaves its total behind it. The first frame is the analysis, where the run has put nothing down yet.
The total is a window and the rate and the pressure are instants, all read at the frame's valid time: the total runs from the start of the run to that time. Liquid-equivalent: snow counts as the water it melts to. GFS and ECMWF only, the two models here that publish an instantaneous rate.
Six-hourly to 384 hours. GFS forecasts out to 384 hours. The frames past the one shown load on demand. Uncorrected model output.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of NOAA. The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- NOAA: GFS, from NOAA's NOMADS server. US government data, not subject to copyright (NOAA/NWS terms of use).
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.