Run total + precip rate + MSLP
Region Southeast
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
GFS · Run 12Z 15 Oct · +0 h · Valid Thu 12Z 15 Oct
GFS · Run 12Z 15 Oct · +0 h · Valid Thu 12Z 15 Oct
Nothing on the map has reached 0.25 mm yet · heaviest rate 34.65 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 43 mm, 95 km NW of Abilene, Texas · heaviest rate 36.95 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 84 mm, 40 km NW of Abilene, Texas · heaviest rate 37.72 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 117 mm at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 30.0 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 134 mm, 115 km SSE of Fort Stockton, Texas · heaviest rate 27.71 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 206 mm at 20.25N 109.0W · heaviest rate 16.26 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 206 mm at 20.25N 109.0W · heaviest rate 9.87 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 206 mm at 20.25N 109.0W · heaviest rate 11.93 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 206 mm at 20.25N 109.0W · heaviest rate 14.19 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 206 mm at 20.25N 109.0W · heaviest rate 21.68 mm/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 212 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 19.67 mm/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 316 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 28.52 mm/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 436 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 13.3 mm/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 507 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 30.85 mm/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 556 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 12.11 mm/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 597 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 28.2 mm/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 605 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 42.18 mm/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 606 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 35.43 mm/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 606 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 34.4 mm/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 614 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 36.52 mm/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 621 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 37.37 mm/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 645 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 30.96 mm/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 680 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 17.79 mm/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 680 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 6.85 mm/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 684 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 26.3 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 690 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 8.94 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 693 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 19.68 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 700 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 14.47 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 709 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 20.41 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 720 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 16.44 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 721 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 18.5 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 724 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 20.75 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 730 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 13.22 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 734 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 36.4 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 735 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 31.09 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 735 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 61.02 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 735 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 45.5 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 735 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 47.03 mm/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 735 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 58.74 mm/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 736 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 47.87 mm/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 739 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 45.9 mm/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 739 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 27.7 mm/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 739 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 61.32 mm/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 740 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 19.52 mm/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 744 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 18.93 mm/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 744 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 20.58 mm/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 744 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 19.31 mm/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 744 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 28.94 mm/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 744 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 28.59 mm/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 744 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 56.81 mm/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 744 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 32.43 mm/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 744 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 42.88 mm/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 745 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 39.73 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 745 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 44.19 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 745 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 40.67 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 745 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 24.95 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 745 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 31.65 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 745 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 24.14 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 745 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 39.02 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 745 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 44.89 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 747 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 40.58 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 750 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 40.67 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 752 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 29.31 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 753 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 30.59 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 753 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 37.5 mm/h at Sat 12Z
One GFS run, issued 12Z 15 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from its analysis to 384 hours out.
Methodology
Two of this site's films laid one over the other. Underneath is the Run total: everything this run puts down from its start to each frame, on Tropical Tidbits' scale. On top is the pressure Time lapse: the precipitation falling at that frame's time, on the radar scale, and the sea-level pressure at that time in 4 hPa isobars. So the rate moves on as the film plays and leaves its total behind it. The first frame is the analysis, where the run has put nothing down yet.
The total is a window and the rate and the pressure are instants, all read at the frame's valid time: the total runs from the start of the run to that time. Liquid-equivalent: snow counts as the water it melts to. GFS and ECMWF only, the two models here that publish an instantaneous rate.
Six-hourly to 384 hours. GFS forecasts out to 384 hours. The frames past the one shown load on demand. Uncorrected model output.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of NOAA. The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- NOAA: GFS, from NOAA's NOMADS server. US government data, not subject to copyright (NOAA/NWS terms of use).
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.