Run total + precip rate + MSLP
Region Northern Plains
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
GFS · Run 18Z 15 Oct · +0 h · Valid Thu 18Z 15 Oct
GFS · Run 18Z 15 Oct · +0 h · Valid Thu 18Z 15 Oct
Nothing on the map has reached 0.25 mm yet · heaviest rate 18.98 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 113 mm at 20.0N 108.25W · heaviest rate 31.55 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 124 mm, 130 km NW of Del Rio, Texas · heaviest rate 20.84 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 238 mm, 255 km SSE of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico · heaviest rate 37.48 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 248 mm, 255 km SSE of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico · heaviest rate 17.31 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 248 mm, 255 km SSE of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico · heaviest rate 29.79 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 248 mm, 255 km SSE of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico · heaviest rate 11.6 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 248 mm, 255 km SSE of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico · heaviest rate 17.11 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 248 mm, 255 km SSE of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico · heaviest rate 16.24 mm/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 248 mm, 255 km SSE of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico · heaviest rate 32.45 mm/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 248 mm, 255 km SSE of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico · heaviest rate 21.48 mm/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 289 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 20.52 mm/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 354 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 43.96 mm/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 389 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 17.91 mm/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 393 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 18.24 mm/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 395 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 19.45 mm/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 400 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 26.52 mm/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 406 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 39.1 mm/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 408 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 26.2 mm/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 408 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 22.38 mm/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 409 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 23.12 mm/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 409 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 40.36 mm/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 421 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 20.88 mm/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 430 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 12.45 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 434 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 7.16 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 440 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 15.87 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 447 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 17.8 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 451 mm, 85 km ENE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 16.93 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 461 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 5.55 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 470 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 38.66 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 482 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 16.68 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 496 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 9.05 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 497 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 18.52 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 497 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 55.85 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 497 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 52.8 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 497 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 35.69 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 498 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 49.33 mm/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 500 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 67.65 mm/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 500 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 48.98 mm/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 500 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 46.13 mm/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 500 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 30.86 mm/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 500 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 27.93 mm/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 500 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 16.8 mm/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 500 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 20.0 mm/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 500 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 40.17 mm/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 500 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 64.12 mm/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 500 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 41.09 mm/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 500 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 23.84 mm/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 500 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 13.63 mm/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 501 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 11.46 mm/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 501 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 24.95 mm/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 502 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 17.67 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 502 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 18.94 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 505 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 19.1 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 506 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 10.29 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 518 mm, 75 km SSE of Prince Rupert, British Columbia · heaviest rate 11.07 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 537 mm, 75 km SSE of Prince Rupert, British Columbia · heaviest rate 10.4 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 556 mm, 75 km SSE of Prince Rupert, British Columbia · heaviest rate 24.8 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 560 mm, 85 km SE of Prince Rupert, British Columbia · heaviest rate 33.38 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 560 mm, 85 km SE of Prince Rupert, British Columbia · heaviest rate 40.61 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 560 mm, 85 km SE of Prince Rupert, British Columbia · heaviest rate 56.33 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 561 mm, 85 km SE of Prince Rupert, British Columbia · heaviest rate 36.08 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 565 mm, 85 km SE of Prince Rupert, British Columbia · heaviest rate 22.12 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 588 mm, 85 km SE of Prince Rupert, British Columbia · heaviest rate 11.24 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 606 mm, 85 km SE of Prince Rupert, British Columbia · heaviest rate 7.9 mm/h at Sat 18Z
One GFS run, issued 18Z 15 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from its analysis to 384 hours out.
Methodology
Two of this site's films laid one over the other. Underneath is the Run total: everything this run puts down from its start to each frame, on Tropical Tidbits' scale. On top is the pressure Time lapse: the precipitation falling at that frame's time, on the radar scale, and the sea-level pressure at that time in 4 hPa isobars. So the rate moves on as the film plays and leaves its total behind it. The first frame is the analysis, where the run has put nothing down yet.
The total is a window and the rate and the pressure are instants, all read at the frame's valid time: the total runs from the start of the run to that time. Liquid-equivalent: snow counts as the water it melts to. GFS and ECMWF only, the two models here that publish an instantaneous rate.
Six-hourly to 384 hours. GFS forecasts out to 384 hours. The frames past the one shown load on demand. Uncorrected model output.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of NOAA. The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- NOAA: GFS, from NOAA's NOMADS server. US government data, not subject to copyright (NOAA/NWS terms of use).
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.