Run total + precip rate + MSLP
GFS · Run 00Z 15 Oct · +0 h · Valid Thu 00Z 15 Oct
Region Midwest
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
GFS · Run 00Z 15 Oct · +0 h · Valid Thu 00Z 15 Oct
Nothing on the map has reached 0.25 mm yet · heaviest rate 35.41 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 80 mm, 90 km ESE of Lubbock, Texas · heaviest rate 29.09 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 91 mm, 90 km ESE of Lubbock, Texas · heaviest rate 34.36 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 94 mm, 90 km ESE of Lubbock, Texas · heaviest rate 21.41 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 98 mm, 80 km NW of Abilene, Texas · heaviest rate 42.7 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 100 mm, 130 km NW of Del Rio, Texas · heaviest rate 16.64 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 169 mm at 20.0N 108.25W · heaviest rate 35.48 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 202 mm at 20.0N 108.25W · heaviest rate 11.34 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 202 mm at 20.0N 108.25W · heaviest rate 19.26 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 202 mm at 20.0N 108.25W · heaviest rate 14.2 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 202 mm at 20.0N 108.25W · heaviest rate 17.62 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 202 mm at 20.0N 108.25W · heaviest rate 24.54 mm/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 220 mm, 100 km ENE of Tuxpam, Mexico · heaviest rate 23.09 mm/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 331 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 18.41 mm/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 434 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 22.26 mm/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 535 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 27.06 mm/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 646 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 14.78 mm/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 692 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 33.66 mm/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 708 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 27.15 mm/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 721 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 12.3 mm/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 732 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 33.33 mm/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 743 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 57.57 mm/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 758 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 26.76 mm/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 769 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 20.35 mm/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 772 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 30.33 mm/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 773 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 20.11 mm/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 775 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 30.45 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 781 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 16.66 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 783 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 23.03 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 790 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 22.74 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 791 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 8.02 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 791 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 28.92 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 791 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 24.57 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 792 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 31.24 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 797 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 15.03 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 800 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 38.3 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 800 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 21.9 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 800 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 52.76 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 800 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 41.95 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 800 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 66.94 mm/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 800 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 62.15 mm/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 800 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 52.17 mm/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 807 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 48.93 mm/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 808 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 56.62 mm/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 811 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 46.82 mm/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 815 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 34.3 mm/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 821 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 36.46 mm/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 823 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 12.48 mm/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 824 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 13.8 mm/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 825 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 11.7 mm/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 825 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 6.37 mm/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 826 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 15.28 mm/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 827 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 10.65 mm/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 834 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 8.52 mm/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 837 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 18.56 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 838 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 47.43 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 840 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 61.8 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 843 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 39.02 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 844 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 9.24 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 845 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 21.28 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 846 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 16.78 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 847 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 27.71 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 848 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 25.32 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 856 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 12.28 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 858 mm, 105 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 24.18 mm/h at Sat 00Z
One GFS run, issued 00Z 15 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from its analysis to 384 hours out.
Methodology
Two of this site's films laid one over the other. Underneath is the Run total: everything this run puts down from its start to each frame, on Tropical Tidbits' scale. On top is the pressure Time lapse: the precipitation falling at that frame's time, on the radar scale, and the sea-level pressure at that time in 4 hPa isobars. So the rate moves on as the film plays and leaves its total behind it. The first frame is the analysis, where the run has put nothing down yet.
The total is a window and the rate and the pressure are instants, all read at the frame's valid time: the total runs from the start of the run to that time. Liquid-equivalent: snow counts as the water it melts to. GFS and ECMWF only, the two models here that publish an instantaneous rate.
Six-hourly to 384 hours. GFS forecasts out to 384 hours. The frames past the one shown load on demand. Uncorrected model output.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of NOAA. The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- NOAA: GFS, from NOAA's NOMADS server. US government data, not subject to copyright (NOAA/NWS terms of use).
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.