Run total + precip rate + MSLP
ECMWF · Run 12Z 14 Oct · +0 h · Valid Wed 12Z 14 Oct
Region Lower 48
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
ECMWF · Run 12Z 14 Oct · +0 h · Valid Wed 12Z 14 Oct
Nothing on the map has reached 0.25 mm yet · heaviest rate 18.41 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 42 mm, 40 km NE of Little Rock, Arkansas · heaviest rate 11.15 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 49 mm, 35 km WNW of Ardmore, Oklahoma · heaviest rate 21.92 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 61 mm, 85 km WNW of Woodward, Oklahoma · heaviest rate 15.53 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 62 mm, 85 km WNW of Woodward, Oklahoma · heaviest rate 17.49 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 94 mm, 90 km N of Abilene, Texas · heaviest rate 19.12 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 104 mm, 90 km N of Abilene, Texas · heaviest rate 26.04 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 145 mm, 130 km NW of Del Rio, Texas · heaviest rate 21.44 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 216 mm, 110 km W of Del Rio, Texas · heaviest rate 20.77 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 231 mm, 110 km W of Del Rio, Texas · heaviest rate 27.29 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 231 mm, 110 km W of Del Rio, Texas · heaviest rate 17.46 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 231 mm, 110 km W of Del Rio, Texas · heaviest rate 25.26 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 231 mm, 110 km W of Del Rio, Texas · heaviest rate 17.41 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 231 mm, 110 km W of Del Rio, Texas · heaviest rate 35.85 mm/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 231 mm, 110 km W of Del Rio, Texas · heaviest rate 41.39 mm/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 231 mm, 110 km W of Del Rio, Texas · heaviest rate 45.17 mm/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 231 mm, 110 km W of Del Rio, Texas · heaviest rate 27.92 mm/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 240 mm, 285 km ESE of Kitty Hawk, North Carolina · heaviest rate 37.27 mm/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 286 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 28.71 mm/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 304 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 27.48 mm/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 322 mm at 35.25N 71.25W · heaviest rate 38.86 mm/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 350 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 33.99 mm/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 354 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 29.6 mm/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 355 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 24.56 mm/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 355 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 15.25 mm/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 357 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 15.79 mm/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 359 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 24.55 mm/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 363 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 14.93 mm/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 372 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 15.69 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 383 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 19.07 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 390 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 11.08 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 404 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 18.81 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 406 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 14.87 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 415 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 10.95 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 427 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 13.37 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 459 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 10.95 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 477 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 14.19 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 505 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 18.14 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 513 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 31.7 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 515 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 17.04 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 515 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 18.69 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 515 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 16.42 mm/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 516 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 15.56 mm/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 516 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 12.94 mm/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 517 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 17.58 mm/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 517 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 15.44 mm/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 518 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 15.75 mm/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 518 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 14.89 mm/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 518 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 20.08 mm/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 518 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 30.67 mm/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 518 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 18.08 mm/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 518 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 12.12 mm/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 518 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 12.54 mm/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 518 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 10.35 mm/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 518 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 18.21 mm/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 518 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 52.82 mm/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 518 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 38.37 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 518 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 10.29 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 519 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 11.87 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 519 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 12.27 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 519 mm at 35.75N 70.25W · heaviest rate 11.31 mm/h at Thu 12Z
One ECMWF run, issued 12Z 14 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from its analysis to 360 hours out.
Methodology
Two of this site's films laid one over the other. Underneath is the Run total: everything this run puts down from its start to each frame, on Tropical Tidbits' scale. On top is the pressure Time lapse: the precipitation falling at that frame's time, on the radar scale, and the sea-level pressure at that time in 2 hPa isobars. So the rate moves on as the film plays and leaves its total behind it. The first frame is the analysis, where the run has put nothing down yet.
The total is a window and the rate and the pressure are instants, all read at the frame's valid time: the total runs from the start of the run to that time. Liquid-equivalent: snow counts as the water it melts to. GFS and ECMWF only, the two models here that publish an instantaneous rate.
Six-hourly to 360 hours. ECMWF's 00Z and 12Z runs forecast out to 360 hours, its 06Z and 18Z runs to 144. The frames past the one shown load on demand. Uncorrected model output.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- ECMWF: IFS, from ECMWF's open data. This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Source: www.ecmwf.int. This ECMWF data is published under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). ECMWF does not accept any liability whatsoever for any error or omission in the data, their availability, or for any loss or damage arising from their use.
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.