Run total + precip rate + MSLP
GFS · Run 18Z 14 Oct · +0 h · Valid Wed 18Z 14 Oct
Region Lower 48
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
GFS · Run 18Z 14 Oct · +0 h · Valid Wed 18Z 14 Oct
Nothing on the map has reached 0.25 mm yet · heaviest rate 19.2 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 62 mm, 40 km SSW of Odessa, Texas · heaviest rate 34.4 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 77 mm, 40 km SSW of Odessa, Texas · heaviest rate 28.45 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 84 mm, 95 km SE of Woodward, Oklahoma · heaviest rate 35.16 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 85 mm, 95 km SE of Woodward, Oklahoma · heaviest rate 15.78 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 85 mm, 95 km SE of Woodward, Oklahoma · heaviest rate 26.09 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 97 mm, 55 km SSW of Sandspit, British Columbia · heaviest rate 15.95 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 114 mm, 55 km SSW of Sandspit, British Columbia · heaviest rate 10.3 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 131 mm near Delicias, Mexico · heaviest rate 13.11 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 136 mm near Delicias, Mexico · heaviest rate 9.73 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 137 mm near Delicias, Mexico · heaviest rate 12.16 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 139 mm, 55 km SSW of Sandspit, British Columbia · heaviest rate 14.02 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 160 mm, 60 km N of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 22.94 mm/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 215 mm, 90 km NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 23.56 mm/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 321 mm, 100 km ENE of Tuxpam, Mexico · heaviest rate 20.13 mm/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 411 mm, 100 km ENE of Tuxpam, Mexico · heaviest rate 22.26 mm/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 488 mm, 90 km NE of Tuxpam, Mexico · heaviest rate 47.06 mm/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 519 mm, 100 km NNE of Tuxpam, Mexico · heaviest rate 41.52 mm/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 571 mm, 100 km NNE of Tuxpam, Mexico · heaviest rate 44.69 mm/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 743 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 54.52 mm/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 806 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 15.91 mm/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 814 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 27.16 mm/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 822 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 6.41 mm/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 829 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 8.39 mm/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 832 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 5.64 mm/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 834 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 27.53 mm/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 840 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 12.31 mm/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 845 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 18.22 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 853 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 10.36 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 856 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 35.71 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 859 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 33.38 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 862 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 35.4 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 862 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 37.08 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 862 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 31.15 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 862 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 34.1 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 864 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 22.29 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 864 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 12.43 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 864 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 15.6 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 867 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 10.8 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 880 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 31.5 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 887 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 24.32 mm/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 888 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 39.25 mm/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 889 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 32.48 mm/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 893 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 55.63 mm/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 893 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 39.15 mm/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 893 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 42.6 mm/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 894 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 47.36 mm/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 906 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 33.38 mm/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 910 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 44.63 mm/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 911 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 33.94 mm/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 913 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 37.82 mm/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 913 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 47.12 mm/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 913 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 24.2 mm/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 913 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 49.9 mm/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 913 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 38.38 mm/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 913 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 41.65 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 913 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 34.09 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 913 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 31.98 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 913 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 32.05 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 913 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 44.0 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 913 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 23.3 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 913 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 39.32 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 913 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 27.0 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 913 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 63.38 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 913 mm, 95 km ESE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · heaviest rate 44.65 mm/h at Fri 18Z
One GFS run, issued 18Z 14 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from its analysis to 384 hours out.
Methodology
Two of this site's films laid one over the other. Underneath is the Run total: everything this run puts down from its start to each frame, on Tropical Tidbits' scale. On top is the pressure Time lapse: the precipitation falling at that frame's time, on the radar scale, and the sea-level pressure at that time in 4 hPa isobars. So the rate moves on as the film plays and leaves its total behind it. The first frame is the analysis, where the run has put nothing down yet.
The total is a window and the rate and the pressure are instants, all read at the frame's valid time: the total runs from the start of the run to that time. Liquid-equivalent: snow counts as the water it melts to. GFS and ECMWF only, the two models here that publish an instantaneous rate.
Six-hourly to 384 hours. GFS forecasts out to 384 hours. The frames past the one shown load on demand. Uncorrected model output.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of NOAA. The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- NOAA: GFS, from NOAA's NOMADS server. US government data, not subject to copyright (NOAA/NWS terms of use).
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.