Region Lower 48
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
GFS · Run 00Z 5 Oct · +0 h · Valid Mon 00Z 5 Oct
Nothing on the map has reached 0.25 mm yet · heaviest rate 29.07 mm/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 169 mm at 20.0N 114.0W · heaviest rate 24.05 mm/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 201 mm at 20.0N 114.25W · heaviest rate 31.23 mm/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 208 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 33.19 mm/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 220 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 23.93 mm/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 227 mm, 135 km E of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 23.06 mm/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 259 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 21.18 mm/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 360 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 39.83 mm/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 371 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 34.91 mm/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 379 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 22.58 mm/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 381 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 41.25 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 382 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 28.12 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 387 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 27.68 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 391 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 23.19 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 396 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 35.84 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 396 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 37.25 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 396 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 34.89 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 398 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 24.28 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 404 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 25.53 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 404 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 65.65 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 405 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 28.09 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 409 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 67.16 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 411 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 42.37 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 411 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 45.81 mm/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 411 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 33.53 mm/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 411 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 48.57 mm/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 411 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 54.54 mm/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 411 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 34.81 mm/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 411 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 52.48 mm/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 411 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 20.23 mm/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 414 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 22.06 mm/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 472 mm, 45 km S of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 14.4 mm/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 472 mm, 45 km S of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 13.59 mm/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 472 mm, 45 km S of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 12.82 mm/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 472 mm, 45 km S of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 20.79 mm/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 472 mm, 45 km S of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 27.38 mm/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 473 mm, 45 km S of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 16.36 mm/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 473 mm, 45 km S of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 16.82 mm/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 473 mm, 45 km S of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 10.13 mm/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 473 mm, 45 km S of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 5.88 mm/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 478 mm, 45 km S of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 15.68 mm/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 478 mm, 45 km S of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 27.76 mm/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 479 mm, 45 km S of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 22.52 mm/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 479 mm, 45 km S of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 12.8 mm/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 484 mm, 45 km S of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 25.22 mm/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 484 mm, 45 km S of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 19.19 mm/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 484 mm, 45 km S of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 47.09 mm/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 484 mm, 45 km S of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 48.76 mm/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 489 mm, 55 km SSE of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 31.37 mm/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 494 mm, 55 km SSE of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 29.78 mm/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 495 mm, 55 km SSE of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 64.13 mm/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 495 mm, 55 km SSE of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 20.85 mm/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 542 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 30.31 mm/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 550 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 18.04 mm/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 554 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 7.57 mm/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 557 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 20.32 mm/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 558 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 25.13 mm/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 560 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 11.71 mm/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 561 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 10.01 mm/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 561 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 8.27 mm/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 561 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 11.87 mm/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 561 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 7.76 mm/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 561 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 5.0 mm/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 561 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 6.06 mm/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 561 mm, 70 km SSE of Tampico, Mexico · heaviest rate 20.47 mm/h at Wed 00Z
One GFS run, issued 00Z 5 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from its analysis to 384 hours out.
Methodology
Two of this site's films laid one over the other. Underneath is the Run total: everything this run puts down from its start to each frame, on Tropical Tidbits' scale. On top is the pressure Time lapse: the precipitation falling at that frame's time, on the radar scale, and the sea-level pressure at that time in 4 hPa isobars. So the rate moves on as the film plays and leaves its total behind it. The first frame is the analysis, where the run has put nothing down yet.
The total is a window and the rate and the pressure are instants, all read at the frame's valid time: the total runs from the start of the run to that time. Liquid-equivalent: snow counts as the water it melts to. GFS and ECMWF only, the two models here that publish an instantaneous rate.
Six-hourly to 384 hours. GFS forecasts out to 384 hours. The frames past the one shown load on demand. Uncorrected model output.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of NOAA. The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- NOAA: GFS, from NOAA's NOMADS server. US government data, not subject to copyright (NOAA/NWS terms of use).
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.