Total precipitation, played forward
ECMWF AIFS · Run 00Z 5 Oct · +6 h · Valid Mon 06Z 5 Oct
Region Lower 48
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
ECMWF AIFS · Run 00Z 5 Oct · +6 h · Valid Mon 06Z 5 Oct
Wettest 73 mm at 20.0N 114.5W · to Mon 06Z
Wettest 108 mm at 20.25N 114.5W · to Mon 12Z
Wettest 120 mm at 20.0N 115.75W · to Mon 18Z
Wettest 137 mm at 20.0N 116.0W · to Tue 00Z
Wettest 140 mm at 20.0N 116.0W · to Tue 06Z
Wettest 143 mm at 20.0N 116.25W · to Tue 12Z
Wettest 154 mm at 20.25N 118.25W · to Tue 18Z
Wettest 159 mm at 20.25N 118.25W · to Wed 00Z
Wettest 160 mm at 20.25N 118.25W · to Wed 06Z
Wettest 161 mm at 20.25N 118.5W · to Wed 12Z
Wettest 162 mm at 20.25N 118.5W · to Wed 18Z
Wettest 162 mm at 20.25N 118.5W · to Thu 00Z
Wettest 162 mm at 20.25N 118.5W · to Thu 06Z
Wettest 164 mm, 90 km ENE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · to Thu 12Z
Wettest 171 mm, 90 km ENE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · to Thu 18Z
Wettest 173 mm, 90 km ENE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · to Fri 00Z
Wettest 174 mm, 90 km ENE of Ciudad Madero, Mexico · to Fri 06Z
Wettest 177 mm at 24.25N 88.75W · to Fri 12Z
Wettest 186 mm at 26.25N 87.5W · to Fri 18Z
Wettest 219 mm at 27.5N 87.0W · to Sat 00Z
Wettest 280 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Sat 06Z
Wettest 296 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Sat 12Z
Wettest 297 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Sat 18Z
Wettest 297 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Sun 00Z
Wettest 297 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Sun 06Z
Wettest 298 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Sun 12Z
Wettest 298 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Sun 18Z
Wettest 298 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Mon 00Z
Wettest 299 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Mon 06Z
Wettest 299 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Mon 12Z
Wettest 299 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Mon 18Z
Wettest 299 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Tue 00Z
Wettest 299 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Tue 06Z
Wettest 299 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Tue 12Z
Wettest 299 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Tue 18Z
Wettest 299 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Wed 00Z
Wettest 300 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Wed 06Z
Wettest 300 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Wed 12Z
Wettest 301 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Wed 18Z
Wettest 302 mm, 185 km SW of Apalachicola, Florida · to Thu 00Z
One ECMWF AIFS run, issued 00Z 5 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from 6 to 240 hours out.
Methodology
Each frame is everything this run puts down from its start to that hour, so the map fills in as the film plays and its last frame is the run's whole total. Liquid-equivalent: snow counts as the water it melts to.
The colours are Tropical Tidbits' scale, so a reader who knows theirs can read this one. Three of its steps are re-shaded: at 0.5 in, at 2 in — where, on theirs, a reader with protanopia sees the 1.75–2 in band and the 2–2.5 in band as one colour — and among the yellows above 12 in. Same hues; the lightness is re-spaced so every step is visible in every common form of colour-blindness.
Six-hourly to 240 hours. ECMWF AIFS forecasts out to 360 hours; this film stops at 240. The frames past the one shown load on demand. Uncorrected model output.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- ECMWF: AIFS Single, from ECMWF's open data. This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Source: www.ecmwf.int. This ECMWF data is published under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). ECMWF does not accept any liability whatsoever for any error or omission in the data, their availability, or for any loss or damage arising from their use.
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.