Region Lower 48
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
ECMWF · Run 00Z 5 Oct · +24 h · Valid Tue 00Z 6 Oct
Wettest 274 mm at 20.0N 116.75W · Mon 00Z to Tue 00Z
Wettest 275 mm at 20.0N 116.75W · Mon 06Z to Tue 06Z
Wettest 278 mm at 20.0N 117.75W · Mon 12Z to Tue 12Z
Wettest 265 mm at 20.0N 117.75W · Mon 18Z to Tue 18Z
Wettest 248 mm at 20.0N 118.5W · Tue 00Z to Wed 00Z
Wettest 272 mm at 20.75N 120.5W · Tue 06Z to Wed 06Z
Wettest 288 mm at 20.75N 120.5W · Tue 12Z to Wed 12Z
Wettest 267 mm at 20.75N 120.5W · Tue 18Z to Wed 18Z
Wettest 248 mm at 21.25N 121.5W · Wed 00Z to Thu 00Z
Wettest 234 mm at 21.25N 121.5W · Wed 06Z to Thu 06Z
Wettest 186 mm at 21.5N 122.0W · Wed 12Z to Thu 12Z
Wettest 191 mm at 22.25N 123.5W · Wed 18Z to Thu 18Z
Wettest 184 mm at 22.25N 123.5W · Thu 00Z to Fri 00Z
Wettest 229 mm at 23.0N 125.0W · Thu 06Z to Fri 06Z
Wettest 275 mm at 23.0N 125.5W · Thu 12Z to Fri 12Z
Wettest 322 mm at 23.0N 125.5W · Thu 18Z to Fri 18Z
Wettest 327 mm at 23.25N 126.0W · Fri 00Z to Sat 00Z
Wettest 294 mm at 23.25N 126.25W · Fri 06Z to Sat 06Z
Wettest 207 mm at 23.25N 126.25W · Fri 12Z to Sat 12Z
Wettest 216 mm at 24.25N 124.25W · Fri 18Z to Sat 18Z
Wettest 233 mm at 24.5N 124.0W · Sat 00Z to Sun 00Z
Wettest 264 mm, 125 km SSE of Charleston, South Carolina · Sat 06Z to Sun 06Z
Wettest 261 mm, 125 km SSE of Charleston, South Carolina · Sat 12Z to Sun 12Z
Wettest 308 mm at 31.5N 75.75W · Sat 18Z to Sun 18Z
Wettest 309 mm at 31.5N 75.75W · Sun 00Z to Mon 00Z
Wettest 331 mm, 115 km WSW of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · Sun 06Z to Mon 06Z
Wettest 415 mm, 115 km WSW of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · Sun 12Z to Mon 12Z
Wettest 410 mm, 115 km WSW of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · Sun 18Z to Mon 18Z
Wettest 415 mm, 120 km WNW of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · Mon 00Z to Tue 00Z
Wettest 413 mm, 120 km WNW of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · Mon 06Z to Tue 06Z
Wettest 267 mm, 105 km W of Tuxpan, Mexico · Mon 12Z to Tue 12Z
Wettest 205 mm, 115 km ESE of Kitty Hawk, North Carolina · Mon 18Z to Tue 18Z
Wettest 287 mm at 36.75N 71.75W · Tue 00Z to Wed 00Z
Wettest 321 mm at 36.75N 70.75W · Tue 06Z to Wed 06Z
Wettest 312 mm at 36.75N 70.75W · Tue 12Z to Wed 12Z
Wettest 259 mm at 36.75N 70.75W · Tue 18Z to Wed 18Z
Wettest 216 mm at 37.25N 66.75W · Wed 00Z to Thu 00Z
One ECMWF run, issued 00Z 5 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from 24 to 240 hours out.
Methodology
Each frame is the precipitation this run puts down in the 24 hours to it — its total at that hour less its total 24 hours before — so the film starts at +24 h, the first frame with a whole day behind it. Liquid-equivalent: snow counts as the water it melts to.
The colours are Tropical Tidbits' scale, so a reader who knows theirs can read this one. Three of its steps are re-shaded: at 0.5 in, at 2 in — where, on theirs, a reader with protanopia sees the 1.75–2 in band and the 2–2.5 in band as one colour — and among the yellows above 12 in. Same hues; the lightness is re-spaced so every step is visible in every common form of colour-blindness.
Six-hourly to 240 hours. ECMWF's 00Z and 12Z runs forecast out to 360 hours, its 06Z and 18Z runs to 144. The frames past the one shown load on demand. Uncorrected model output.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- ECMWF: IFS, from ECMWF's open data. This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Source: www.ecmwf.int. This ECMWF data is published under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). ECMWF does not accept any liability whatsoever for any error or omission in the data, their availability, or for any loss or damage arising from their use.
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.