Run total + precip rate + MSLP
GFS · Run 00Z 15 Oct · +0 h · Valid Thu 00Z 15 Oct
Region Northern Plains
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
GFS · Run 00Z 15 Oct · +0 h · Valid Thu 00Z 15 Oct
Nothing on the map has reached 0.01 in yet · heaviest rate 1.394 in/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 3.14 in, 55 mi ESE of Lubbock, Texas · heaviest rate 1.145 in/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 3.57 in, 55 mi ESE of Lubbock, Texas · heaviest rate 1.353 in/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 3.71 in, 55 mi ESE of Lubbock, Texas · heaviest rate 0.843 in/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 3.85 in, 50 mi NW of Abilene, Texas · heaviest rate 1.681 in/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 3.95 in, 80 mi NW of Del Rio, Texas · heaviest rate 0.655 in/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 6.65 in at 20.0N 108.25W · heaviest rate 1.397 in/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 7.95 in at 20.0N 108.25W · heaviest rate 0.447 in/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 7.96 in at 20.0N 108.25W · heaviest rate 0.758 in/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 7.96 in at 20.0N 108.25W · heaviest rate 0.559 in/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 7.97 in at 20.0N 108.25W · heaviest rate 0.694 in/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 7.97 in at 20.0N 108.25W · heaviest rate 0.966 in/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 8.66 in, 60 mi ENE of Tuxpam, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.909 in/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 13.04 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.725 in/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 17.09 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.876 in/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 21.08 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.065 in/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 25.42 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.582 in/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 27.23 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.325 in/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 27.86 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.069 in/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 28.38 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.484 in/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 28.83 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.312 in/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 29.24 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 2.266 in/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 29.84 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.053 in/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 30.28 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.801 in/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 30.40 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.194 in/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 30.43 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.792 in/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 30.52 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.199 in/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 30.76 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.656 in/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 30.82 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.907 in/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 31.11 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.895 in/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 31.14 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.316 in/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 31.16 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.139 in/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 31.16 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.967 in/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 31.17 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.23 in/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 31.37 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.592 in/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 31.48 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.508 in/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 31.49 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.862 in/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 31.49 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 2.077 in/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 31.49 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.652 in/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 31.51 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 2.635 in/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 31.51 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 2.447 in/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 31.52 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 2.054 in/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 31.78 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.926 in/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 31.81 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 2.229 in/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 31.92 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.843 in/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 32.09 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.35 in/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 32.31 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.435 in/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 32.41 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.491 in/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 32.44 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.543 in/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 32.47 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.461 in/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 32.49 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.251 in/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 32.50 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.601 in/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 32.57 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.419 in/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 32.82 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.336 in/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 32.97 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.731 in/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 33.00 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.867 in/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 33.06 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 2.433 in/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 33.17 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.536 in/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 33.21 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.364 in/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 33.27 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.838 in/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 33.31 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.661 in/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 33.36 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.091 in/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 33.39 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.997 in/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 33.70 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.483 in/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 33.77 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.952 in/h at Sat 00Z
One GFS run, issued 00Z 15 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from its analysis to 384 hours out.
Methodology
Two of this site's films laid one over the other. Underneath is the Run total: everything this run puts down from its start to each frame, on Tropical Tidbits' scale. On top is the pressure Time lapse: the precipitation falling at that frame's time, on the radar scale, and the sea-level pressure at that time in 4 hPa isobars. So the rate moves on as the film plays and leaves its total behind it. The first frame is the analysis, where the run has put nothing down yet.
The total is a window and the rate and the pressure are instants, all read at the frame's valid time: the total runs from the start of the run to that time. Liquid-equivalent: snow counts as the water it melts to. GFS and ECMWF only, the two models here that publish an instantaneous rate.
Six-hourly to 384 hours. GFS forecasts out to 384 hours. The frames past the one shown load on demand. Uncorrected model output.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of NOAA. The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- NOAA: GFS, from NOAA's NOMADS server. US government data, not subject to copyright (NOAA/NWS terms of use).
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.