Collect
7 models, every run
Each of the major weather models' forecasts for every place we track, kept as each new run arrives.
Every forecast is a guess from one model. We show you all of them.
Compare
Where they agree, and where they split
When the models agree you can plan on it. When they split, we show the split rather than averaging it away.
Score
Checked against what happened
Once a day is over, each city's forecasts are scored against its own weather station, so you can see which model has been right.
The widest split · forecasts for Wednesday
Boston: the models' highs run from 63° to 78°
They fall into 3 separate groups, the widest disagreement among the 26 cities we read every day.
Who has been right · typical miss one day out
In 5 of 24 cities one model is clearly ahead.
In the other 19, the top models are too close to call, and we say so rather than crown one.
Los Angeles, California
ECMWF by 0.8°F over GFS
Paris, Île-de-France Region
GFS by 0.8°F over UKMO
Dallas, Texas
UKMO & GFS within 0.01°F
Your own places, in the beta
The full site, with every model's forecast for the places you choose, is in a free beta.