Run total + precip rate + MSLP
GFS · Run 12Z 15 Oct · +0 h · Valid Thu 12Z 15 Oct
Region Midwest
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
GFS · Run 12Z 15 Oct · +0 h · Valid Thu 12Z 15 Oct
Nothing on the map has reached 0.01 in yet · heaviest rate 1.364 in/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 1.68 in, 60 mi NW of Abilene, Texas · heaviest rate 1.455 in/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 3.31 in, 25 mi NW of Abilene, Texas · heaviest rate 1.485 in/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 4.60 in at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 1.181 in/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 5.28 in, 70 mi SSE of Fort Stockton, Texas · heaviest rate 1.091 in/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 8.09 in at 20.25N 109.0W · heaviest rate 0.64 in/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 8.09 in at 20.25N 109.0W · heaviest rate 0.388 in/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 8.10 in at 20.25N 109.0W · heaviest rate 0.47 in/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 8.10 in at 20.25N 109.0W · heaviest rate 0.559 in/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 8.10 in at 20.25N 109.0W · heaviest rate 0.854 in/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 8.35 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.774 in/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 12.44 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.123 in/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 17.17 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.524 in/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 19.96 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.215 in/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 21.88 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.477 in/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 23.49 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.11 in/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 23.80 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.661 in/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 23.85 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.395 in/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 23.87 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.354 in/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 24.17 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.438 in/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 24.46 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.471 in/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 25.38 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.219 in/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 26.75 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.7 in/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 26.79 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.27 in/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 26.93 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.035 in/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 27.15 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.352 in/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 27.29 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.775 in/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 27.58 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.57 in/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 27.93 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.804 in/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 28.34 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.647 in/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 28.37 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.728 in/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 28.49 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.817 in/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 28.73 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.521 in/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 28.92 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.433 in/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 28.92 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.224 in/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 28.92 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 2.402 in/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 28.92 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.791 in/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 28.92 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.852 in/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 28.93 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 2.313 in/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 28.99 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.885 in/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 29.09 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.807 in/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 29.10 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.09 in/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 29.10 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 2.414 in/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 29.14 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.768 in/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 29.27 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.745 in/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 29.28 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.81 in/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 29.28 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.76 in/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 29.28 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.139 in/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 29.29 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.126 in/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 29.29 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 2.236 in/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 29.29 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.277 in/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 29.29 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.688 in/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 29.31 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.564 in/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 29.32 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.74 in/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 29.32 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.601 in/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 29.32 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.982 in/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 29.33 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.246 in/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 29.33 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.951 in/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 29.33 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.536 in/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 29.34 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.767 in/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 29.39 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.598 in/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 29.53 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.601 in/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 29.62 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.154 in/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 29.63 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.204 in/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 29.63 in, 65 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.476 in/h at Sat 12Z
One GFS run, issued 12Z 15 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from its analysis to 384 hours out.
Methodology
Two of this site's films laid one over the other. Underneath is the Run total: everything this run puts down from its start to each frame, on Tropical Tidbits' scale. On top is the pressure Time lapse: the precipitation falling at that frame's time, on the radar scale, and the sea-level pressure at that time in 4 hPa isobars. So the rate moves on as the film plays and leaves its total behind it. The first frame is the analysis, where the run has put nothing down yet.
The total is a window and the rate and the pressure are instants, all read at the frame's valid time: the total runs from the start of the run to that time. Liquid-equivalent: snow counts as the water it melts to. GFS and ECMWF only, the two models here that publish an instantaneous rate.
Six-hourly to 384 hours. GFS forecasts out to 384 hours. The frames past the one shown load on demand. Uncorrected model output.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of NOAA. The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- NOAA: GFS, from NOAA's NOMADS server. US government data, not subject to copyright (NOAA/NWS terms of use).
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.