Run total + precip rate + MSLP
GFS · Run 12Z 14 Oct · +0 h · Valid Wed 12Z 14 Oct
Region Mid-Atlantic
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
GFS · Run 12Z 14 Oct · +0 h · Valid Wed 12Z 14 Oct
Nothing on the map has reached 0.01 in yet · heaviest rate 0.921 in/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 4.83 in, 155 mi WSW of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.126 in/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 5.00 in, 155 mi WSW of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.445 in/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 5.25 in at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 1.135 in/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 7.14 in at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 0.766 in/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 7.60 in at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 0.441 in/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 7.64 in at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 0.905 in/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 7.81 in at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 1.279 in/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 8.34 in at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 0.559 in/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 8.57 in at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 0.767 in/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 8.63 in at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 0.845 in/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 8.70 in at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 1.034 in/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 8.71 in at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 0.745 in/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 8.74 in at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 0.821 in/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 8.75 in at 20.0N 108.5W · heaviest rate 0.799 in/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 12.66 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.778 in/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 15.52 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.632 in/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 17.08 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.5 in/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 18.58 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.664 in/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 19.04 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.385 in/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 19.21 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.36 in/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 19.29 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.77 in/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 19.32 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.477 in/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 19.34 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.266 in/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 19.42 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.333 in/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 19.43 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.345 in/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 19.45 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.476 in/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 19.99 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.421 in/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 20.45 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.258 in/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 20.91 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.296 in/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 20.94 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.743 in/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 21.01 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.716 in/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 21.26 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.542 in/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 21.49 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.474 in/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 21.55 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.163 in/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 21.76 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.33 in/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 22.01 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.91 in/h at Fri 12Z
Wettest so far 22.01 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.458 in/h at Fri 18Z
Wettest so far 22.01 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.515 in/h at Sat 00Z
Wettest so far 22.08 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.782 in/h at Sat 06Z
Wettest so far 22.11 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.887 in/h at Sat 12Z
Wettest so far 22.13 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.78 in/h at Sat 18Z
Wettest so far 22.14 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.222 in/h at Sun 00Z
Wettest so far 22.14 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.056 in/h at Sun 06Z
Wettest so far 22.14 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.676 in/h at Sun 12Z
Wettest so far 22.17 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.597 in/h at Sun 18Z
Wettest so far 22.26 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.808 in/h at Mon 00Z
Wettest so far 22.35 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.428 in/h at Mon 06Z
Wettest so far 22.67 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.041 in/h at Mon 12Z
Wettest so far 23.14 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.279 in/h at Mon 18Z
Wettest so far 23.18 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.166 in/h at Tue 00Z
Wettest so far 23.37 in, 50 mi NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.569 in/h at Tue 06Z
Wettest so far 23.50 in, 50 mi NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.06 in/h at Tue 12Z
Wettest so far 23.91 in, 50 mi NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.471 in/h at Tue 18Z
Wettest so far 23.95 in, 50 mi NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.92 in/h at Wed 00Z
Wettest so far 23.95 in, 50 mi NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.212 in/h at Wed 06Z
Wettest so far 23.95 in, 50 mi NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.453 in/h at Wed 12Z
Wettest so far 23.95 in, 50 mi NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.305 in/h at Wed 18Z
Wettest so far 23.95 in, 50 mi NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.417 in/h at Thu 00Z
Wettest so far 23.97 in, 50 mi NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.033 in/h at Thu 06Z
Wettest so far 23.98 in, 50 mi NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.297 in/h at Thu 12Z
Wettest so far 24.01 in, 50 mi NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.258 in/h at Thu 18Z
Wettest so far 24.01 in, 50 mi NE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.342 in/h at Fri 00Z
Wettest so far 24.09 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 0.603 in/h at Fri 06Z
Wettest so far 24.41 in, 55 mi NNE of Nautla, Mexico · heaviest rate 1.185 in/h at Fri 12Z
One GFS run, issued 12Z 14 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from its analysis to 384 hours out.
Methodology
Two of this site's films laid one over the other. Underneath is the Run total: everything this run puts down from its start to each frame, on Tropical Tidbits' scale. On top is the pressure Time lapse: the precipitation falling at that frame's time, on the radar scale, and the sea-level pressure at that time in 4 hPa isobars. So the rate moves on as the film plays and leaves its total behind it. The first frame is the analysis, where the run has put nothing down yet.
The total is a window and the rate and the pressure are instants, all read at the frame's valid time: the total runs from the start of the run to that time. Liquid-equivalent: snow counts as the water it melts to. GFS and ECMWF only, the two models here that publish an instantaneous rate.
Six-hourly to 384 hours. GFS forecasts out to 384 hours. The frames past the one shown load on demand. Uncorrected model output.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of NOAA. The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- NOAA: GFS, from NOAA's NOMADS server. US government data, not subject to copyright (NOAA/NWS terms of use).
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.