Total precipitation, played forward
ECMWF AIFS · Run 00Z 15 Oct · +6 h · Valid Thu 06Z 15 Oct
Region Lower 48
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
ECMWF AIFS · Run 00Z 15 Oct · +6 h · Valid Thu 06Z 15 Oct
Wettest 1.35 in, 25 mi N of Vernon, Texas · to Thu 06Z
Wettest 1.85 in, 30 mi NE of Vernon, Texas · to Thu 12Z
Wettest 2.16 in, 30 mi NE of Vernon, Texas · to Thu 18Z
Wettest 2.26 in, 30 mi NE of Vernon, Texas · to Fri 00Z
Wettest 2.32 in, 25 mi S of Ketchikan, Alaska · to Fri 06Z
Wettest 3.00 in, 50 mi W of Del Rio, Texas · to Fri 12Z
Wettest 3.28 in, 25 mi S of Ketchikan, Alaska · to Fri 18Z
Wettest 3.54 in, 35 mi SE of Ketchikan, Alaska · to Sat 00Z
Wettest 3.89 in near Teziutlán, Mexico · to Sat 06Z
Wettest 5.16 in near Teziutlán, Mexico · to Sat 12Z
Wettest 5.45 in near Teziutlán, Mexico · to Sat 18Z
Wettest 5.71 in, 70 mi ENE of Nautla, Mexico · to Sun 00Z
Wettest 7.25 in, 70 mi ENE of Nautla, Mexico · to Sun 06Z
Wettest 8.32 in, 85 mi E of Nautla, Mexico · to Sun 12Z
Wettest 9.16 in, 85 mi E of Nautla, Mexico · to Sun 18Z
Wettest 9.60 in, 80 mi NE of Veracruz, Mexico · to Mon 00Z
Wettest 9.94 in, 80 mi NE of Veracruz, Mexico · to Mon 06Z
Wettest 10.19 in, 80 mi NE of Veracruz, Mexico · to Mon 12Z
Wettest 10.38 in, 80 mi NE of Veracruz, Mexico · to Mon 18Z
Wettest 10.50 in, 80 mi NE of Veracruz, Mexico · to Tue 00Z
Wettest 10.59 in, 80 mi NE of Veracruz, Mexico · to Tue 06Z
Wettest 10.66 in, 80 mi NE of Veracruz, Mexico · to Tue 12Z
Wettest 10.69 in, 80 mi NE of Veracruz, Mexico · to Tue 18Z
Wettest 10.70 in, 80 mi NE of Veracruz, Mexico · to Wed 00Z
Wettest 10.70 in, 80 mi NE of Veracruz, Mexico · to Wed 06Z
Wettest 10.71 in, 80 mi NE of Veracruz, Mexico · to Wed 12Z
Wettest 10.74 in, 80 mi NE of Veracruz, Mexico · to Wed 18Z
Wettest 10.79 in, 80 mi NE of Veracruz, Mexico · to Thu 00Z
Wettest 11.01 in, 80 mi NE of Veracruz, Mexico · to Thu 06Z
Wettest 11.26 in, 80 mi NE of Veracruz, Mexico · to Thu 12Z
Wettest 11.40 in, 80 mi NE of Veracruz, Mexico · to Thu 18Z
Wettest 11.50 in, 80 mi NE of Veracruz, Mexico · to Fri 00Z
Wettest 11.71 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Fri 06Z
Wettest 11.95 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Fri 12Z
Wettest 12.13 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Fri 18Z
Wettest 12.34 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Sat 00Z
Wettest 12.51 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Sat 06Z
Wettest 12.71 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Sat 12Z
Wettest 12.92 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Sat 18Z
Wettest 13.16 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Sun 00Z
Wettest 13.23 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Sun 06Z
Wettest 13.27 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Sun 12Z
Wettest 13.29 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Sun 18Z
Wettest 13.31 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Mon 00Z
Wettest 13.34 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Mon 06Z
Wettest 13.37 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Mon 12Z
Wettest 13.40 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Mon 18Z
Wettest 13.43 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Tue 00Z
Wettest 13.45 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Tue 06Z
Wettest 13.46 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Tue 12Z
Wettest 13.48 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Tue 18Z
Wettest 13.52 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Wed 00Z
Wettest 13.61 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Wed 06Z
Wettest 13.84 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Wed 12Z
Wettest 14.13 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Wed 18Z
Wettest 14.37 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Thu 00Z
Wettest 14.55 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Thu 06Z
Wettest 14.72 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Thu 12Z
Wettest 14.80 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Thu 18Z
Wettest 14.86 in, 85 mi SE of Jacksonville, North Carolina · to Fri 00Z
One ECMWF AIFS run, issued 00Z 15 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from 6 to 360 hours out.
Methodology
Each frame is everything this run puts down from its start to that hour, so the map fills in as the film plays and its last frame is the run's whole total. Liquid-equivalent: snow counts as the water it melts to.
The colours are Tropical Tidbits' scale, so a reader who knows theirs can read this one. Three of its steps are re-shaded: at 0.5 in, at 2 in — where, on theirs, a reader with protanopia sees the 1.75–2 in band and the 2–2.5 in band as one colour — and among the yellows above 12 in. Same hues; the lightness is re-spaced so every step is visible in every common form of colour-blindness.
Six-hourly to 360 hours. ECMWF AIFS forecasts out to 360 hours. The frames past the one shown load on demand. Uncorrected model output.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- ECMWF: AIFS Single, from ECMWF's open data. This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Source: www.ecmwf.int. This ECMWF data is published under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). ECMWF does not accept any liability whatsoever for any error or omission in the data, their availability, or for any loss or damage arising from their use.
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.