MSLP + precip rate
Region Europe
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
Surface pressure (hPa) and instantaneous precip rate (mm/h)
GFS · Run 18Z 15 Oct · +0 h · Valid Thu 18Z 15 Oct
GFS · Run 18Z 15 Oct · +0 h · Valid Thu 18Z 15 Oct
Surface pressure (hPa) and instantaneous precip rate (mm/h)
Heaviest rate 13.4 mm/h, near 46.25N 37.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 11.24 mm/h, near 47.25N 35.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 5.4 mm/h, near 44.5N 10.25W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 8.32 mm/h, near 39.25N 31.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 7.51 mm/h, near 38.75N 31.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 6.37 mm/h, near 36.75N 24.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 12.27 mm/h, near 69.0N 15.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 9.94 mm/h, near 39.0N 30.25E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 9.47 mm/h, near 35.25N 2.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 17.59 mm/h, near 42.25N 30.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 11.8 mm/h, near 41.25N 31.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 34.52 mm/h, near 44.75N 34.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 53.19 mm/h, near 38.75N 0.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 31.2 mm/h, near 38.5N 0.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 20.22 mm/h, near 39.25N 1.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 20.01 mm/h, near 40.0N 2.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 15.14 mm/h, near 44.0N 4.25E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 11.4 mm/h, near 44.25N 3.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 8.88 mm/h, near 54.75N 15.0W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 16.59 mm/h, near 44.0N 6.25E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 25.2 mm/h, near 44.75N 9.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 29.27 mm/h, near 39.5N 13.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 19.82 mm/h, near 43.25N 16.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 10.02 mm/h, near 43.5N 17.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 10.49 mm/h, near 43.0N 19.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 12.35 mm/h, near 51.25N 24.0W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 20.52 mm/h, near 54.5N 16.75W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 14.06 mm/h, near 54.0N 9.25W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 16.66 mm/h, near 55.5N 2.75W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 14.11 mm/h, near 44.75N 20.25E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 13.09 mm/h, near 61.25N 3.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 8.78 mm/h, near 60.75N 7.75W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 16.19 mm/h, near 37.75N 21.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 10.81 mm/h, near 49.75N 11.0W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 9.01 mm/h, near 51.0N 6.0W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 7.64 mm/h, near 52.5N 0.5W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 5.08 mm/h, near 35.5N 1.25E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 5.91 mm/h, near 55.5N 10.25E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 6.08 mm/h, near 48.75N 25.0W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 14.57 mm/h, near 51.25N 20.25W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 12.37 mm/h, near 44.75N 25.0W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 21.91 mm/h, near 43.0N 24.75W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 25.63 mm/h, near 41.75N 23.75W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 14.69 mm/h, near 63.5N 16.25W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 11.0 mm/h, near 37.0N 24.75W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 24.78 mm/h, near 37.5N 23.25W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 22.35 mm/h, near 38.5N 21.5W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 17.96 mm/h, near 37.5N 21.0W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 13.09 mm/h, near 39.0N 19.0W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 15.99 mm/h, near 44.25N 13.25W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 14.01 mm/h, near 43.25N 12.25W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 11.19 mm/h, near 46.5N 8.5W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 10.6 mm/h, near 59.5N 6.25E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 7.02 mm/h, near 57.5N 13.0W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 21.02 mm/h, near 38.0N 39.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 9.39 mm/h, near 38.5N 42.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 8.24 mm/h, near 55.75N 3.75W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 12.56 mm/h, near 56.75N 4.75W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 7.8 mm/h, near 61.0N 0.25W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 8.97 mm/h, near 57.0N 14.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 11.36 mm/h, near 51.5N 23.5W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 15.69 mm/h, near 51.75N 24.5W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 12.59 mm/h, near 50.25N 24.5W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 7.46 mm/h, near 57.25N 5.25W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
Heaviest rate 9.06 mm/h, near 51.25N 22.0W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.25 mm/h falling
One GFS run — issued 18Z 15 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from its analysis to 384 hours out.
Methodology
Step forward and the pressure pattern moves, and the precipitation under it moves with it: that motion is the weather this run forecasts, not the forecast changing — Forecast Evolution is the film for that. Same chart grammar as the surface analysis: the same reduction, the same 4 hPa interval, the same frame; only the forecast hour varies. Six-hourly to 384 hours. GFS forecasts out to 384 hours. The frames past the one shown load on demand.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of NOAA. The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- NOAA: GFS, from NOAA's NOMADS server. US government data, not subject to copyright (NOAA/NWS terms of use).
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.