MSLP + precip rate
ECMWF · Run 06Z 15 Oct · +0 h · Valid Thu 06Z 15 Oct
Region Europe
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
Surface pressure (hPa) and instantaneous precip rate (in/h)
ECMWF · Run 06Z 15 Oct · +0 h · Valid Thu 06Z 15 Oct
Surface pressure (hPa) and instantaneous precip rate (in/h)
Heaviest rate 0.457 in/h, near 41.0N 30.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.353 in/h, near 41.0N 30.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.528 in/h, near 38.75N 40.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.42 in/h, near 43.5N 36.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.5 in/h, near 43.5N 39.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.483 in/h, near 43.0N 17.0W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.286 in/h, near 37.25N 35.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.38 in/h, near 38.75N 33.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.347 in/h, near 40.25N 35.25E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.42 in/h, near 47.5N 35.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.547 in/h, near 49.25N 21.25W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.578 in/h, near 42.0N 32.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.502 in/h, near 36.5N 6.25W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.478 in/h, near 43.5N 32.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.541 in/h, near 39.0N 0.25W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.461 in/h, near 37.75N 3.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.472 in/h, near 36.25N 0.75W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 1.018 in/h, near 39.0N 0.25W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.612 in/h, near 39.25N 3.25E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.701 in/h, near 43.25N 3.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.704 in/h, near 41.5N 3.25E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.665 in/h, near 42.0N 5.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.726 in/h, near 40.75N 7.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.506 in/h, near 42.25N 7.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.51 in/h, near 39.75N 10.25E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
One ECMWF run — issued 06Z 15 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from its analysis to 144 hours out.
Methodology
Step forward and the pressure pattern moves, and the precipitation under it moves with it: that motion is the weather this run forecasts, not the forecast changing — Forecast Evolution is the film for that. Same chart grammar as the surface analysis: the same reduction, the same 2 hPa interval, the same frame; only the forecast hour varies. Six-hourly to 144 hours. ECMWF's 00Z and 12Z runs forecast out to 360 hours, its 06Z and 18Z runs to 144. The frames past the one shown load on demand.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- ECMWF: IFS, from ECMWF's open data. This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Source: www.ecmwf.int. This ECMWF data is published under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). ECMWF does not accept any liability whatsoever for any error or omission in the data, their availability, or for any loss or damage arising from their use.
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.