MSLP + precip rate
ECMWF · Run 06Z 14 Oct · +0 h · Valid Wed 06Z 14 Oct
Region Europe
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
Surface pressure (hPa) and instantaneous precip rate (in/h)
ECMWF · Run 06Z 14 Oct · +0 h · Valid Wed 06Z 14 Oct
Surface pressure (hPa) and instantaneous precip rate (in/h)
Heaviest rate 0.533 in/h, near 38.75N 23.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.558 in/h, near 35.75N 30.25E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.38 in/h, near 36.25N 32.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.503 in/h, near 35.5N 32.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.648 in/h, near 40.5N 30.25E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.517 in/h, near 40.75N 31.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.516 in/h, near 43.0N 41.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.461 in/h, near 43.0N 41.25E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.416 in/h, near 43.0N 40.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.419 in/h, near 37.0N 37.25E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.451 in/h, near 38.0N 41.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.389 in/h, near 37.25N 24.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.421 in/h, near 41.75N 31.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.509 in/h, near 50.25N 25.0W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.439 in/h, near 44.5N 24.5W · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.531 in/h, near 36.0N 33.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.544 in/h, near 42.0N 32.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.951 in/h, near 39.5N 1.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 1.124 in/h, near 39.25N 1.25E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.742 in/h, near 44.5N 44.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.523 in/h, near 39.75N 4.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.695 in/h, near 43.75N 4.75E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.533 in/h, near 43.5N 4.5E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.609 in/h, near 40.5N 7.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
Heaviest rate 0.476 in/h, near 39.75N 7.0E · unshaded ground is where the model has under 0.01 in/h falling
One ECMWF run — issued 06Z 14 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from its analysis to 144 hours out.
Methodology
Step forward and the pressure pattern moves, and the precipitation under it moves with it: that motion is the weather this run forecasts, not the forecast changing — Forecast Evolution is the film for that. Same chart grammar as the surface analysis: the same reduction, the same 2 hPa interval, the same frame; only the forecast hour varies. Six-hourly to 144 hours. ECMWF's 00Z and 12Z runs forecast out to 360 hours, its 06Z and 18Z runs to 144. The frames past the one shown load on demand.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- ECMWF: IFS, from ECMWF's open data. This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Source: www.ecmwf.int. This ECMWF data is published under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). ECMWF does not accept any liability whatsoever for any error or omission in the data, their availability, or for any loss or damage arising from their use.
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.