Total precipitation, played forward
Region Europe
United States
Europe
The readings under the map are for the whole map, not only the part shown.
ECMWF AIFS · Run 12Z 15 Oct · +6 h · Valid Thu 18Z 15 Oct
ECMWF AIFS · Run 12Z 15 Oct · +6 h · Valid Thu 18Z 15 Oct
Wettest 1.24 in, 40 mi NNE of Karabük, Turkey · to Thu 18Z
Wettest 1.80 in, 40 mi N of Kastamonu, Turkey · to Fri 00Z
Wettest 1.88 in, 45 mi NNE of Kastamonu, Turkey · to Fri 06Z
Wettest 2.00 in, 40 mi N of Kastamonu, Turkey · to Fri 12Z
Wettest 2.19 in, 40 mi NNE of Karabük, Turkey · to Fri 18Z
Wettest 2.36 in, 40 mi NNE of Karabük, Turkey · to Sat 00Z
Wettest 2.51 in, 40 mi N of Kastamonu, Turkey · to Sat 06Z
Wettest 2.55 in, 40 mi N of Kastamonu, Turkey · to Sat 12Z
Wettest 2.75 in, 40 mi NNE of Karabük, Turkey · to Sat 18Z
Wettest 3.04 in, 40 mi NNE of Karabük, Turkey · to Sun 00Z
Wettest 3.29 in, 65 mi NE of Istanbul, Turkey · to Sun 06Z
Wettest 3.59 in, 40 mi NNE of Karabük, Turkey · to Sun 12Z
Wettest 3.69 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Sun 18Z
Wettest 4.33 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Mon 00Z
Wettest 4.60 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Mon 06Z
Wettest 4.90 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Mon 12Z
Wettest 5.36 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Mon 18Z
Wettest 5.72 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Tue 00Z
Wettest 6.05 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Tue 06Z
Wettest 6.29 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Tue 12Z
Wettest 6.39 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Tue 18Z
Wettest 6.82 in, 30 mi NNW of Montpellier, France · to Wed 00Z
Wettest 7.27 in, 30 mi NNW of Montpellier, France · to Wed 06Z
Wettest 7.33 in, 30 mi NNW of Montpellier, France · to Wed 12Z
Wettest 7.33 in, 30 mi NNW of Montpellier, France · to Wed 18Z
Wettest 7.33 in, 30 mi NNW of Montpellier, France · to Thu 00Z
Wettest 7.46 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Thu 06Z
Wettest 7.62 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Thu 12Z
Wettest 7.70 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Thu 18Z
Wettest 7.85 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Fri 00Z
Wettest 8.03 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Fri 06Z
Wettest 8.12 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Fri 12Z
Wettest 8.14 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Fri 18Z
Wettest 8.15 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Sat 00Z
Wettest 8.19 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Sat 06Z
Wettest 8.25 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Sat 12Z
Wettest 8.29 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Sat 18Z
Wettest 8.35 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Sun 00Z
Wettest 8.75 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Sun 06Z
Wettest 9.43 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Sun 12Z
Wettest 10.69 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Sun 18Z
Wettest 11.76 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Mon 00Z
Wettest 12.56 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Mon 06Z
Wettest 13.21 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Mon 12Z
Wettest 13.85 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Mon 18Z
Wettest 14.33 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Tue 00Z
Wettest 14.74 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Tue 06Z
Wettest 15.04 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Tue 12Z
Wettest 15.20 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Tue 18Z
Wettest 15.29 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Wed 00Z
Wettest 15.40 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Wed 06Z
Wettest 15.54 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Wed 12Z
Wettest 15.83 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Wed 18Z
Wettest 16.16 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Thu 00Z
Wettest 16.63 in, 45 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Thu 06Z
Wettest 17.02 in, 45 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Thu 12Z
Wettest 17.30 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Thu 18Z
Wettest 17.47 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Fri 00Z
Wettest 17.54 in, 55 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Fri 06Z
Wettest 17.85 in, 45 mi W of Höfn, Iceland · to Fri 12Z
One ECMWF AIFS run, issued 12Z 15 Oct — played forward 6 hours at a time, from 6 to 360 hours out.
Methodology
Each frame is everything this run puts down from its start to that hour, so the map fills in as the film plays and its last frame is the run's whole total. Liquid-equivalent: snow counts as the water it melts to.
The colours are Tropical Tidbits' scale, so a reader who knows theirs can read this one. Three of its steps are re-shaded: at 0.5 in, at 2 in — where, on theirs, a reader with protanopia sees the 1.75–2 in band and the 2–2.5 in band as one colour — and among the yellows above 12 in. Same hues; the lightness is re-spaced so every step is visible in every common form of colour-blindness.
Six-hourly to 360 hours. ECMWF AIFS forecasts out to 360 hours. The frames past the one shown load on demand. Uncorrected model output.
This map is drawn from model output we store ourselves, not from anyone's picture of it, and is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The per-city read of the same day — which cities the models are fighting about, and what the discussion makes of it — is on the national page. Every model's full forecast for any of these cities, or anywhere else, is in the beta: request an invite; it's free during the beta.
Sources and licences
- ECMWF: AIFS Single, from ECMWF's open data. This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Source: www.ecmwf.int. This ECMWF data is published under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). ECMWF does not accept any liability whatsoever for any error or omission in the data, their availability, or for any loss or damage arising from their use.
What we change: each field is cropped to the frame these maps share when we download it, and each map then smooths, contours, differences or ranks those numbers as its Methodology says. These are our maps of the providers' numbers, not their products, and none of them has reviewed or endorsed this site.
Coastlines, borders, lakes and place names: Natural Earth, public domain.