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Tampa forecast

Forecast Highs Lows Rain Model accuracy

Tampa, TPA station · using data from 2026-10-15T12:51 UTC · from the forecast models, not an official forecast

Today · Oct 15
cloudy90° / 73°

models 88–91°

Rain 13% · a trace

Model agreement
High good Low good Rain poor
Tomorrow · Oct 16
thunderstorms89° / 76°

models 87–90°

Rain 35% · 0.22 in

Model agreement
High good Low good Rain poor

What changed Fri Oct 16: Could come close to the all-time record high

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After tomorrow

Model agreement

How to read this

The big number is our blend of every model, each corrected by how it has verified here. Where there is no blend yet, it is the middle model's.

Under it, the range is the lowest and highest high the forecast models give for the day. Where they disagree a lot, the two models at the ends are named.

Rain is the middle model's chance of rain and the middle model's total.

Model agreement is how close the models' forecasts for one day sit to each other once each model's usual lean at the place is set aside, judged separately for the high, the low and rain: good, fair or poor against how far apart they usually are that many days out, and for rain against the band of chances where a plan changes.

These are the numbers from the models' last run we stored, at the time above. They are not an official forecast, and this page carries no weather warnings: for those, see the National Weather Service.

SatOct 17
showers
78° / 69°76–82°
43% · 0.32 in39–75%
High fair Low fair Rain fair
SunOct 18
partly cloudy
80° / 65°74–82°
13%5–22%
High fair Low poor Rain good low 60–69°
MonOct 19
partly cloudy
83° / 68°77–86°
16%0–18%
High fair Low poor Rain good low 58–72°
TueOct 20
partly cloudy
84° / 68°77–88°
13%2–31%
High fair Low poor Rain fair low 58–73°
WedOct 21
clear
83° / 66°78–88°
12%0–27%
High good Low poor Rain fair low 57–70°
ThuOct 22
partly cloudy
82° / 63°77–87°
17%10–41%
High good Low fair Rain fair
FriOct 23
clear
81° / 64°78–87°
15%5–39%
High good Low fair Rain fair
Show all 12 days
SatOct 24
clear
81° / 63°80–83°
17%5–35%
High good Low good Rain fair
SunOct 25
partly cloudy
81° / 63°79–84°
10%5–16%
High good Low good Rain good
MonOct 26
partly cloudy
81° / 64°79–83°
11%6–16%
High good Low fair Rain good
TueOct 27
partly cloudy
83° / 65°80–86°
6%
High good Low fair Rain good
WedOct 28
drizzle
81° / 67°79–84°
9% · a trace2–16%
High good Low fair Rain good

Going deeper

Each model's high, day by day → Each model's low → Each model's rain → Which models have been right here →