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Tampa forecast

Tampa, TPA station · using data from 2026-10-16T00:51 UTC · from the forecast models, not an official forecast

Today · Oct 15
partly cloudy32° / 23°

models 31–33°

Rain 28% · a trace

Model agreement
High good Low good Rain poor
Tomorrow · Oct 16
thunderstorms32° / 24°

models 30–33°

Rain 50% · 2.9 mm

Model agreement
High good Low good Rain poor

What changed Mon Oct 19: Models now agree — highs 25–30°, closest to the warmer camp

Watch a date in Tampa and see what each new model run does to it, with the full forecast beside it. Request an invite; it's free during the beta.

After tomorrow

Model agreement

How to read this

The big number is our blend of every model, each corrected by how it has verified here. Where there is no blend yet, it is the middle model's.

Under it, the range is the lowest and highest high the forecast models give for the day. Where they disagree a lot, the two models at the ends are named.

Rain is the middle model's chance of rain and the middle model's total.

Model agreement is how close the models' forecasts for one day sit to each other once each model's usual lean at the place is set aside, judged separately for the high, the low and rain: good, fair or poor against how far apart they usually are that many days out, and for rain against the band of chances where a plan changes.

These are the numbers from the models' last run we stored, at the time above. They are not an official forecast, and this page carries no weather warnings: for those, see the National Weather Service.

SatOct 17
thunderstorms
26° / 20°24–27°
65% · 7.3 mm43–93%
High fair Low fair Rain fair
SunOct 18
cloudy
26° / 18°25–27°
6%0–28%
High good Low poor Rain fair low 15–20°
MonOct 19
partly cloudy
28° / 19°25–30°
10%0–28%
High fair Low poor Rain fair low 15–21°
TueOct 20
clear
28° / 18°26–30°
8%0–22%
High good Low poor Rain good low 14–21°
WedOct 21
clear
28° / 16°26–30°
7%0–14%
High good Low poor Rain good low 14–19°
ThuOct 22
clear
27° / 17°25–29°
15%8–19%
High good Low fair Rain good
FriOct 23
cloudy
26° / 17°23–28°
9%
High fair Low good Rain good
Show all 12 days
SatOct 24
showers
27° / 18°24–30°
14% · 0.6 mm11–23%
High fair Low good Rain good
SunOct 25
drizzle
26° / 19°26–27°
12% · 0.9 mm8–20%
High good Low good Rain good
MonOct 26
rain
28° / 20°27–30°
27% · 0.8 mm19–32%
High good Low good Rain fair
TueOct 27
cloudy
27° / 20°26–30°
13% · a trace10–20%
High good Low good Rain good
WedOct 28
cloudy
29° / 21°28–30°
19% · 2.9 mm
High good Low good Rain good

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