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Buffalo forecast

Forecast Highs Lows Rain Model accuracy

Buffalo, BUF station · using data from 2026-10-15T12:50 UTC · from the forecast models, not an official forecast

Today · Oct 15
cloudy60° / 49°

models 55–64°

Rain 26% · a trace

Model agreement
High poor Low good Rain poor UKMO 55° to GFS 64°
Tomorrow · Oct 16
rain69° / 44°

models 66–69°

Rain 100% · 0.48 in

Model agreement
High good Low fair Rain good

What changed Fri Oct 16: Models now agree — highs 65–70°, closest to the middle camp

Watch a date in Buffalo and see what each new model run does to it, with the full forecast beside it. Request an invite; it's free during the beta.

After tomorrow

Model agreement

How to read this

The big number is our blend of every model, each corrected by how it has verified here. Where there is no blend yet, it is the middle model's.

Under it, the range is the lowest and highest high the forecast models give for the day. Where they disagree a lot, the two models at the ends are named.

Rain is the middle model's chance of rain and the middle model's total.

Model agreement is how close the models' forecasts for one day sit to each other once each model's usual lean at the place is set aside, judged separately for the high, the low and rain: good, fair or poor against how far apart they usually are that many days out, and for rain against the band of chances where a plan changes.

These are the numbers from the models' last run we stored, at the time above. They are not an official forecast, and this page carries no weather warnings: for those, see the National Weather Service.

SatOct 17
drizzle
48° / 37°44–48°
36% · a trace6–70%
High fair Low good Rain poor
SunOct 18
clear
59° / 38°56–59°
0%
High good Low good Rain good
MonOct 19
partly cloudy
64° / 43°60–66°
0%
High good Low good Rain good
TueOct 20
cloudy
65° / 42°59–67°
0%0–17%
High good Low poor Rain good low 37–49°
WedOct 21
cloudy
64° / 41°60–67°
0%0–19%
High good Low good Rain good
ThuOct 22
cloudy
64° / 40°61–68°
15%3–31%
High fair Low fair Rain fair
FriOct 23
cloudy
62° / 45°54–66°
13%6–21%
High fair Low poor Rain good low 40–53°
Show all 12 days
SatOct 24
drizzle
63° / 44°51–72°
14%
High poor Low poor Rain good ECMWF 51° to AIGFS 72°low 36–56°
SunOct 25
drizzle
63° / 49°48–70°
20% · 0.03 in14–26%
High poor Low poor Rain fair ECMWF 48° to AIFS 70°low 41–58°
MonOct 26
partly cloudy
63° / 49°52–74°
28% · 0.01 in22–33%
High poor Low poor Rain fair ECMWF 52° to AIFS 74°low 43–58°
TueOct 27
drizzle
61° / 46°53–64°
20% · 0.01 in
High fair Low fair Rain good
WedOct 28
drizzle
58° / 43°52–62°
26% · 0.04 in17–34%
High good Low fair Rain fair

Going deeper

Each model's high, day by day → Each model's low → Each model's rain → Which models have been right here →