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Buffalo forecast

Forecast Highs Lows Rain Model accuracy

Buffalo, BUF station · using data from 2026-10-16T00:51 UTC · from the forecast models, not an official forecast

Today · Oct 15
cloudy15° / 9°

models 13–17°

Rain 27%

Model agreement
High fair Low good Rain poor
Tomorrow · Oct 16
showers20° / 7°

models agree on the high

Rain 100% · 14.6 mm

Model agreement
High good Low fair Rain good

What changed Mon Oct 19: Fire danger appears in the forecast — humidity down to 17%

Watch a date in Buffalo and see what each new model run does to it, with the full forecast beside it. Request an invite; it's free during the beta.

After tomorrow

Model agreement

How to read this

The big number is our blend of every model, each corrected by how it has verified here. Where there is no blend yet, it is the middle model's.

Under it, the range is the lowest and highest high the forecast models give for the day. Where they disagree a lot, the two models at the ends are named.

Rain is the middle model's chance of rain and the middle model's total.

Model agreement is how close the models' forecasts for one day sit to each other once each model's usual lean at the place is set aside, judged separately for the high, the low and rain: good, fair or poor against how far apart they usually are that many days out, and for rain against the band of chances where a plan changes.

These are the numbers from the models' last run we stored, at the time above. They are not an official forecast, and this page carries no weather warnings: for those, see the National Weather Service.

SatOct 17
drizzle
9° / 2°7–9°
16% · a trace0–71%
High good Low fair Rain poor
SunOct 18
clear
15° / 3°
0%
High good Low poor Rain good low 0–7°
MonOct 19
clear
18° / 5°16–19°
0%
High good Low fair Rain good
TueOct 20
cloudy
18° / 4°16–19°
0%
High good Low poor Rain good low 1–8°
WedOct 21
cloudy
18° / 4°15–18°
0%
High good Low fair Rain good
ThuOct 22
partly cloudy
19° / 5°16–20°
8%0–15%
High good Low fair Rain good
FriOct 23
clear
19° / 8°16–21°
16%3–18%
High good Low fair Rain good
Show all 12 days
SatOct 24
clear
20° / 8°14–23°
8%
High fair Low fair Rain good
SunOct 25
clear
21° / 8°18–23°
10%
High good Low poor Rain good low 4–14°
MonOct 26
cloudy
19° / 9°17–20°
19%10–26%
High good Low fair Rain fair
TueOct 27
cloudy
19° / 9°14–21°
15%13–29%
High fair Low good Rain fair
WedOct 28
cloudy
16° / 9°13–18°
15% · a trace
High good Low fair Rain good

Going deeper

Each model's high, day by day → Each model's low → Each model's rain → Which models have been right here →