Was the forecast right for Seattle on Wed Aug 26?
Seattle, Washington · daily high temperature in °F · forecasts from each model's archived runs, verified against the SEA observations
3 days out, 7 models put Seattle's Wed Aug 26 high anywhere from 73° to 83°; by the final call the field had settled to a median of 78°. The day verified at 77° against the SEA observations — cloudy.
GEM landed closest, off by 0.6°. GFS ran 5° hot.
What every model said, at every lead
Daily-high calls for Wed Aug 26 as each model's runs approached it — the last archived run per day. NBM and The Spread's own blend are consensus products and stay out of these ranges and rankings; the Seattle scoreboard shows them, labelled.
| Lead | AIFS | AIGFS | ECMWF | GEM | GFS | ICON | UKMO | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d · 2026-08-23 | 73° | 77° | 78° | 74° | 83° | 75° | 75° | 73–83° |
| 2d · 2026-08-24 | 73° | 78° | 78° | 74° | 83° | 76° | 78° | 73–83° |
| 1d · 2026-08-25 | 73° | 78° | 78° | 77° | 84° | 75° | 77° | 73–84° |
| 0d · 2026-08-26 | 74° | 79° | 78° | 76° | 82° | 73° | 79° | 73–82° |
| actual | 77° |
Read it honestly
This is one date, not a league table. A model can win a day it deserved to lose; rankings only mean something over a window. For that, see which model has been most accurate in Seattle — or every city The Spread scores.
Forecasts are what each model's archived runs said at the time, captured at The Spread's sweep times — never reconstructed after the fact. Truth is the SEA observations. Archive depth varies by city; receipts exist only for dates the archive watched arrive.