Was the forecast right for Salt Lake City on Mon Oct 26?
Salt Lake City, Utah · daily high temperature in °F · forecasts from each model's archived runs, verified against the SLC observations
13 days out, 4 models put Salt Lake City's Mon Oct 26 high anywhere from 50° to 65°;by the final call, the day before, the field had settled to a median of 63°. The day verified at 66° against the SLC observations — drizzle.
GFS landed closest, off by 0.3°. AIFS ran 4° cool.
What every model said, at every lead
Daily-high calls for Mon Oct 26 as each model's runs approached it — the last archived run per day. NBM and The Spread's own blend are consensus products and stay out of these ranges and rankings; the Salt Lake City scoreboard shows them, labeled.
| Lead | AIFS | AIGFS | ECMWF | GEM | GFS | ICON | UKMO | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15d · 2026-10-11 | 52° | 46° | — | — | 64° | — | — | 46–64° |
| 14d · 2026-10-12 | — | 61° | 50° | — | 53° | — | — | 50–61° |
| 13d · 2026-10-13 | 57° | 61° | 50° | — | 65° | — | — | 50–65° |
| 12d · 2026-10-14 | 60° | 62° | 47° | — | 57° | — | — | 47–62° |
| 11d · 2026-10-15 | 62° | 58° | 45° | — | 55° | — | — | 45–62° |
| 10d · 2026-10-16 | 43° | 54° | 68° | — | 58° | — | — | 43–68° |
| 9d · 2026-10-17 | 57° | 69° | 68° | 41° | 64° | — | — | 41–69° |
| 8d · 2026-10-18 | 63° | 67° | 63° | 59° | 64° | — | — | 59–67° |
| 7d · 2026-10-19 | 60° | 68° | 58° | 64° | 63° | 66° | — | 58–68° |
| 6d · 2026-10-20 | 62° | 63° | 58° | 62° | 60° | 60° | 64° | 58–64° |
| 5d · 2026-10-21 | 62° | 65° | 58° | 62° | 65° | 58° | 58° | 58–65° |
| 4d · 2026-10-22 | 62° | 64° | 63° | 61° | 67° | 61° | 64° | 61–67° |
| 3d · 2026-10-23 | 62° | 66° | 64° | 63° | 65° | 61° | 63° | 61–66° |
| 2d · 2026-10-24 | 62° | 64° | 63° | 63° | 66° | 62° | 63° | 62–66° |
| 1d · 2026-10-25 | 62° | 63° | 64° | 63° | 66° | 62° | 62° | 62–66° |
| actual | 66° |
Read it honestly
This is one date, not a league table. A model can win a day it deserved to lose; rankings only mean something over a window. For that, see which model has been most accurate in Salt Lake City — or every city The Spread scores.
Forecasts are what each model's archived runs said at the time, captured at The Spread's sweep times — never reconstructed after the fact. Truth is the SLC observations. The actual values are the ones in hand when this day was verified, usually 2 days after the date; a correction published after that is not carried into it. Archive depth varies by city; verified days exist only for dates the archive watched arrive.