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Phoenix forecast

Forecast Highs Lows Rain Model accuracy

Phoenix, Sky Harbor station · using data from 2026-10-15T12:50 UTC · from the forecast models, not an official forecast

Today · Oct 15
clear90° / 62°

models 86–90°

Rain 0%

Model agreement
High good Low poor Rain good low 43–69°
Tomorrow · Oct 16
cloudy89° / 71°

models 85–88°

Rain 0%

Model agreement
High good Low poor Rain good low 68–75°

What changed Mon Oct 19: Fire danger appears in the forecast — humidity down to 16%

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After tomorrow

Model agreement

How to read this

The big number is our blend of every model, each corrected by how it has verified here. Where there is no blend yet, it is the middle model's.

Under it, the range is the lowest and highest high the forecast models give for the day. Where they disagree a lot, the two models at the ends are named.

Rain is the middle model's chance of rain and the middle model's total.

Model agreement is how close the models' forecasts for one day sit to each other once each model's usual lean at the place is set aside, judged separately for the high, the low and rain: good, fair or poor against how far apart they usually are that many days out, and for rain against the band of chances where a plan changes.

These are the numbers from the models' last run we stored, at the time above. They are not an official forecast, and this page carries no weather warnings: for those, see the National Weather Service.

SatOct 17
cloudy
82° / 69°78–82°
11%3–18%
High good Low fair Rain good
SunOct 18
cloudy
85° / 68°80–86°
13%6–16%
High good Low poor Rain good low 63–71°
MonOct 19
showers
85° / 68°77–89°
17% · 0.05 in8–29%
High poor Low good Rain fair GEM 77° to UKMO 89°
TueOct 20
partly cloudy
84° / 67°80–88°
33% · 0.02 in10–56%
High good Low poor Rain poor low 62–71°
WedOct 21
cloudy
82° / 66°75–91°
29% · 0.01 in4–56%
High poor Low fair Rain poor AIGFS 75° to ECMWF 91°
ThuOct 22
partly cloudy
73° / 60°70–76°
36% · 0.13 in4–62%
High good Low fair Rain poor
FriOct 23
clear
74° / 57°72–77°
4%3–22%
High good Low good Rain good
Show all 12 days
SatOct 24
clear
81° / 58°78–85°
5%
High good Low fair Rain good
SunOct 25
cloudy
85° / 62°81–88°
8%
High good Low fair Rain good
MonOct 26
cloudy
79° / 62°74–88°
10% · 0.06 in
High fair Low fair Rain good
TueOct 27
cloudy
76° / 61°69–88°
14% · 0.19 in
High poor Low fair Rain good GFS 69° to ECMWF 88°
WedOct 28
cloudy
76° / 60°69–88°
12% · a trace6–19%
High poor Low fair Rain good AIFS 69° to ECMWF 88°

Going deeper

Each model's high, day by day → Each model's low → Each model's rain → Which models have been right here →