The Spread Maps Request an invite

Paris forecast

Paris, Le Bourget station · using data from 2026-10-16T00:51 UTC · from the forecast models, not an official forecast

Today · Oct 16
drizzle21° / 12°

models 18–22°

Rain 55% · 0.7 mm

Model agreement
High poor Low fair Rain poor AIFS 18° to GFS 22°
Tomorrow · Oct 17
partly cloudy16° / 8°

models 15–16°

Rain 28% · a trace

Model agreement
High good Low fair Rain poor

What changed Mon Oct 19: Models now agree — highs 11–15°, closest to the cooler camp

Watch a date in Paris and see what each new model run does to it, with the full forecast beside it. Request an invite; it's free during the beta.

After tomorrow

Model agreement

How to read this

The big number is our blend of every model, each corrected by how it has verified here. Where there is no blend yet, it is the middle model's.

Under it, the range is the lowest and highest high the forecast models give for the day. Where they disagree a lot, the two models at the ends are named.

Rain is the middle model's chance of rain and the middle model's total.

Model agreement is how close the models' forecasts for one day sit to each other once each model's usual lean at the place is set aside, judged separately for the high, the low and rain: good, fair or poor against how far apart they usually are that many days out, and for rain against the band of chances where a plan changes.

These are the numbers from the models' last run we stored, at the time above. They are not an official forecast, and this page carries no weather warnings: for those, see your national weather service.

SunOct 18
cloudy
15° / 5°10–15°
10%0–14%
High poor Low good Rain good UKMO 10° to GFS 15°
MonOct 19
drizzle
15° / 3°11–15°
23% · a trace15–33%
High fair Low fair Rain fair
TueOct 20
drizzle
18° / 9°12–20°
19% · 2.2 mm0–26%
High poor Low poor Rain fair GFS 12° to UKMO 20°low 5–11°
WedOct 21
drizzle
16° / 8°12–18°
29% · 1.7 mm22–39%
High fair Low poor Rain fair low 4–13°
ThuOct 22
drizzle
17° / 8°14–17°
26% · 1.0 mm20–35%
High good Low fair Rain fair
FriOct 23
drizzle
18° / 8°14–18°
16% · 0.3 mm11–26%
High fair Low poor Rain fair low 5–15°
SatOct 24
drizzle
17° / 7°14–17°
22% · 1.2 mm11–27%
High good Low fair Rain fair
Show all 12 days
SunOct 25
drizzle
15° / 6°14–15°
16%10–20%
High good Low good Rain good
MonOct 26
drizzle
17° / 6°13–17°
17% · 1.8 mm10–33%
High good Low fair Rain fair
TueOct 27
drizzle
19° / 8°12–21°
24% · 1.2 mm13–27%
High fair Low fair Rain fair
WedOct 28
drizzle
19° / 9°13–22°
20% · 0.6 mm16–29%
High fair Low good Rain fair
ThuOct 29
drizzle
19° / 10°13–22°
20% · 1.3 mm
High fair Low good Rain good

Going deeper