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New York forecast

Forecast Highs Lows Rain Model accuracy

New York, Central Park station · using data from 2026-10-15T12:50 UTC · from the forecast models, not an official forecast

Today · Oct 15
cloudy66° / 56°

models 65–68°

Rain 0%

Model agreement
High fair Low good Rain good
Tomorrow · Oct 16
showers73° / 57°

models 71–76°

Rain 100% · 0.34 in

Model agreement
High fair Low good Rain good

What changed Tue Oct 20: Models now agree — highs 62–69°, closest to the middle camp

Watch a date in New York and see what each new model run does to it, with the full forecast beside it. Request an invite; it's free during the beta.

After tomorrow

Model agreement

How to read this

The big number is our blend of every model, each corrected by how it has verified here. Where there is no blend yet, it is the middle model's.

Under it, the range is the lowest and highest high the forecast models give for the day. Where they disagree a lot, the two models at the ends are named.

Rain is the middle model's chance of rain and the middle model's total.

Model agreement is how close the models' forecasts for one day sit to each other once each model's usual lean at the place is set aside, judged separately for the high, the low and rain: good, fair or poor against how far apart they usually are that many days out, and for rain against the band of chances where a plan changes.

These are the numbers from the models' last run we stored, at the time above. They are not an official forecast, and this page carries no weather warnings: for those, see the National Weather Service.

SatOct 17
drizzle
63° / 44°60–69°
53% · 0.06 in33–79%
High poor Low good Rain fair AIFS 60° to ICON 69°
SunOct 18
clear
56° / 40°53–61°
0%
High fair Low good Rain good
MonOct 19
clear
60° / 43°54–66°
6%3–13%
High fair Low poor Rain good low 35–48°
TueOct 20
cloudy
66° / 45°62–69°
8%3–17%
High good Low poor Rain good low 35–52°
WedOct 21
clear
64° / 52°63–67°
5%0–16%
High good Low good Rain good
ThuOct 22
clear
61° / 49°58–66°
10%0–21%
High fair Low fair Rain good
FriOct 23
cloudy
63° / 47°58–71°
12%3–24%
High fair Low fair Rain good
Show all 12 days
SatOct 24
partly cloudy
56° / 49°53–63°
5%3–17%
High fair Low fair Rain good
SunOct 25
partly cloudy
58° / 46°48–71°
8% · a trace
High poor Low fair Rain good ECMWF 48° to AIFS 71°
MonOct 26
drizzle
64° / 51°55–72°
17% · a trace10–24%
High fair Low poor Rain good low 42–58°
TueOct 27
cloudy
66° / 52°59–76°
16% · a trace
High poor Low fair Rain good GFS 59° to AIFS 76°
WedOct 28
cloudy
63° / 52°59–66°
17% · a trace10–24%
High good Low fair Rain good

Going deeper

Each model's high, day by day → Each model's low → Each model's rain → Which models have been right here →